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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The winning bid rate of US 30-year bonds is 4.535%, which is higher than the pre-issuance transaction rate. The US Treasury continued to issue US$ 22 billion of 30-year bonds, with a winning bid rate of 4.535%. The pre-issuance transaction rate was 4.523% when the tender closed at 1 pm new york time. The proportion of primary dealers was 14.4%, which was higher than the previous one. The proportion of direct bidders was reduced to 19.1%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was increased to 66.5%. The bid multiple is 2.39 times, which is lower than the average of 2.42 times in the past six renewal transactions.Dutch Ministry of Defence: All F-16 fighters have been transferred to Romania. On the 12th local time, the Dutch Ministry of Defence announced that the Royal Dutch Air Force has completed the upgrade from F-16 fighters to more advanced F-35 fighters. In order to make full use of the retired F-16 fighters, the Dutch government has signed an intention agreement to transfer these fighters to Romania. This will enable Romania to train a new generation of pilots, including Ukrainian pilots. On November 7, last year, the Netherlands sent the first batch of F-16 fighters to the European F-16 fighter training center in Romania for training Ukrainian pilots. In September this year, Romanian Defense Ministry spokesman Spinu said that the first batch of Ukrainian fighter pilots arrived in Romania at the beginning of this month and began to receive theoretical training for F-16 fighters. Practical training may begin before the end of this year.

Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.The State Council, USA: When meeting with Turkish President Erdogan, Secretary of State Blinken stressed the need to ensure that the coalition against Islamic State can continue to carry out its key mission.USGS: An earthquake of magnitude 5.1 occurred in Izu Islands, Japan.

Turkish President Erdogan met with US Secretary of State Blinken in Ankara.Italian Finance Minister: GDP will increase by 0.7% in 2024.Apple is about to switch to self-developed Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips for iPhone and smart home. Apple plans to switch to domestic chips for Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection on its devices from next year, which will gradually phase out some components currently provided by Broadcom. This chip, code-named Proxima, has been developed for several years and is now planned to be used in the first batch of iPhone and smart home devices produced in 2025. The internal chips of iPhone manufacturers will be produced by TSMC.